Ad budget
It’s the 12th and you’re $40K behind plan.
The month forecast shows where you land against your target line. Move Meta or Google spend toward the channel with the best ROAS, then reopen the forecast tomorrow.
Forecasting & Goals
Know by Wednesday whether you’ll hit the month.
By the Numbers forecasts the rest of your month from your store’s own sales history and draws your target on the same chart. You see the gap while there’s still time to close it.
60-second install · 14-day free trial · No credit card required
5.0 from 81 reviews on the Shopify App Store
Last 30 days · Apr 5 – May 4Compare: No comparisonSegment: All Customers
Monthly Revenue · Forecast
Current
$43.3K
Month to date
Forecast remaining
$32.8K
Rest of the month
Projected total
$76.1K
+9% vs prior month
Goal $80K
Up to 25
Months of training data
Daily sales, refit on each open
Weekly + yearly
Seasonality modeled
On top of the trend
W/M/Q/Y
Forecast periods
Sales or orders, by segment
Replace ‘feels like a slow week’ with a number.
A goal without a forecast is a guess. Set a sales or orders target on a forecast, and the chart shows where the period is heading against it. The gap tells you how much the rest of the month has to deliver.
- Forecast sales or orders for the rest of the week, month, quarter, or year
- Goals as a fixed amount or as growth over last period or last year
- Scope a forecast to a saved customer segment
- Save named forecasts and pin them to a dashboard
Goal Progress
Monthly Revenue78%
$27.4KTarget: $35K
New Customers68%
342Target: 500
Repeat Rate85%
34%Target: 40%
Forecast
On track to hit 2/3 goals this month
Forecasts that know your Mondays from your Decembers.
A run rate assumes each day sells like your average day. By the Numbers fits a statistical model to your daily sales that separates the trend from weekly and yearly seasonality. Each time you open a forecast, it refits on your orders through yesterday.
- Trend that adjusts where your growth rate shifts
- Weekly seasonality for your strongest and slowest days
- Yearly seasonality from up to 25 months of daily sales
- The same model projects the rest of the week or month in Pulse
Use it when
Three forecasting decisions this week
Inventory
A SKU is selling faster than you planned.
Inventory Forecast weights the last 7 days most, so the faster pace shows up in its 30- and 90-day projections. Inventory Demand shows the days of stock left, so you reorder before the stockout.
Cash flow
You need to commit to Q4 inventory spend.
Forecast the rest of the year, and last year’s seasonal peak carries into this year’s numbers. Finance plans Q4 against your store’s own seasonality instead of a flat average.
“By the Numbers has been a game-changer for our forecasting. We can set goals and actually track our pace in real time. The nudges keep our team focused.”
Mavi JeansShopify Plus · Apparel
“The predictive forecasting helped us understand our sales cycles and plan inventory accordingly. We no longer guess - we know where we're headed.”
Nostalgicbulbs.comDTC · Lighting
Forecasting questions, answered
How does the forecast work?
It fits a statistical time-series model to your store's daily sales. The model separates the trend, including points where your growth rate shifts, from weekly and yearly seasonality.
How much history does a forecast need?
At least 90 days with orders. The model learns from up to 25 months of daily sales, so the longer your history, the more of your seasonal pattern it has seen.
How often does the forecast update?
Each time you open it. The model refits on your orders through yesterday, so last week's results shape this week's forecast.
Can I forecast a single customer segment?
Yes. Scope a forecast to a saved segment, then save it by name and pin it to a dashboard.
What kinds of goals can I set?
A sales or orders target, as a fixed amount or as growth over the last period or the same period last year. A fixed-amount goal is drawn as a target line on the forecast chart.
From the blog
Related guides
- GuideSales Forecasting for Shopify: Methods, Tools & AccuracySales forecasting for Shopify made practical: the methods that work, how machine learning predicts demand and seasonality, and how to act on the forecast.
- Sales Forecasting Methods and Techniques for ShopifySales forecasting methods for Shopify compared: moving averages, exponential smoothing, regression, and machine learning, plus when each one fits your store.
- Best SKU Practices for Shopify Inventory ManagementBest SKU practices for Shopify inventory management: consistent naming formats, short descriptive codes, and regular updates for accurate reporting.
- How to Group SKUs for Shopify Inventory ManagementGroup SKUs for Shopify inventory management: simplify stock tracking, speed up reordering, and analyze sales trends by product group to guide restocking.
Set a goal this morning. Track it tomorrow.
Install free on Shopify. With 90 days of orders, your first forecast is ready once your history imports.
60-second install · 14-day free trial · No credit card required