You can't justify cutting a Meta budget your CFO is staring at.
Pull the M3 repeat rate by channel. If Meta cohorts repeat at half the rate of Google, you have the evidence to justify the cut.
Cohort analysis shows which channels acquire repeat customers and which acquire one-time buyers. By the Numbers builds the curves Shopify Analytics can't.
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Day-one ROAS measures only the first order. The Meta campaign with the cheapest CPA can have the worst LTV. Cohort retention shows, month by month, which acquisition source paid back.
Cohorts tend to leak in a particular month, such as M2 when a consumable runs out or M6 when loyalty points expire. Slice by segment, channel, or SKU to see the leak as a kink in the curve. That is when to launch a flow.
Add ad spend and get cohort-attributed ROAS. The same dashboard shows which channels acquire customers worth keeping and which bring in one-time buyers.

Pull the M3 repeat rate by channel. If Meta cohorts repeat at half the rate of Google, you have the evidence to justify the cut.
Filter the cohort to first-time buyers of your hero SKU. If M2 retention drops, the post-purchase flow is the lever, not the discount.
Compare M6 retention pre/post-launch on the same cohort definition. The lift, or lack of one, is your decision criterion.
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